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Posted January 2009:

I have seen the world end. Ten times, twenty times. At least. I have seen New York being flooded, the globe freezing over, Europe turned into a desert and fire raining from the skies.  

It was moving each time. And noisy too. A lot of wrooms, ka-booms, bangs. Afterwards my husband and I used to go for a beer.

If you have survived killer viruses, alien monsters, and undead-zombies, all out to destroy the world as we have known it in 90 minutes or so, the current economic crisis will barely make you blink.

What crisis? Whose crisis? Have some more popcorn, dear.

The financial crisis of 2008 was uncompromising in its destruction of reputations and undiscriminating in its treatment of investors. Across the globe, people have seen their life’s savings wiped out. Some of America’s wealthiest socialites are facing ruin.

But, honestly, did anybody really believe that growth was limitless? Have they all forgotten what’s been said a million times: “If it looks too good to be true, it probably is!”

Nobody listened.

Now they do, gnashing their teeth and tearing their hair.

The current financial crisis has driven home the point that higher, further, faster cannot be the inherent purpose of growth. Growth that is purely materialist will hit the wall. Only growth that is sustainable, based on values and ethics, can meet the challenges of the present and the future.

The Africa convention of the Institute of Brewing & Distilling (1 March to 6 March 2009) is devoted to the issue of sustainable development.

A wise and timely choice.

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Posted October 2008:

It’s a truism that Art imitates Life. But what about Life imitating Art? I have been thinking about this vexing question often in the course of the past few weeks as we saw several Wall Street institutions hit the proverbial wall. Not that their demise filled me with glee. Far from it. Yet I felt somewhat smug as I had made the controversial claim (well, it sounded contentious to the audience then) in a paper that I gave at the San Francisco convention of the MBAA two years ago that the globalisation of the brewing industry did not so much resemble a linear and purposeful narrative as a re-run of the motion picture “Easy Rider”. You will all remember how the film ends. Its heroes are killed by some dim-witted rednecks.

Hopefully, a similar fate will not befall the architects of the Anheuser-Busch takeover. These days they will be holding their breath that none of the banks which promised to bankroll the deal will go under before they have handed over their cash to InBev.    

I spent a lot of time this summer sitting on airplanes as I travelled from Europe to Hawaii, on to Australia and New Zealand and back home again. That allowed me to catch up with Philip Kerr’s fourth novel in the Berlin Noir series, “The One from the Other”. If you have not read any of Mr Kerr’s Berlin novels (“March Violets”, “The Pale Criminal”, and “A German Requiem”, all published in the 1990s), then go out and get them. These novels feature the Chandleresque private eye Bernie Gunther, who is an outstanding main protagonist in a 1930s Berlin: ambivalent, complicated and deep. Mr Kerr gives us stories with intricate and believable plots that involve fascinatingly drawn characters from the Nazi time and some of the best wise-guy dialogues in crime fiction.  

After a 14 year interlude, Kerr has returned to form with “The One from the Other”, a novel set in post-war Munich. The evil portrayed is anything but fictional, from an appearance by Adolf Eichmann, with whom Bernie is forced to throw in his luck, to the complicity of the CIA and the Catholic Church in subverting justice for war criminals.

Incidentally, while hiding out in a Bavarian monastery, Bernie hitches a ride with two fairly ruddy and rotund brewing monks by the names of Seehofer and Stoiber. The reason this blotter is devoted to them is that these – fictional – monks bear the names of two of Bavaria’s most prominent conservative politicians who have been in the news since September following their party’s historic fall from absolute majority in the Bavarian parliamentary elections. Call that Life imitating Art? Absolutely.   

Mr Stoiber, Bavaria’s Prime Minister and leader of the Bavarian Christian Social Union party, was putsched out of his office two years ago after his popularity in the polls had dipped just below 50 percent. To readers unfamiliar with Bavaria’s history: the CSU has enjoyed an absolute majority in the Bavarian federal parliament for well over 50 years. Two years ago, scheming party grandees thought the CSU would stand a better chance of re-gaining the absolute majority without the technocratic Prime Minister Stoiber at the helm and helped launch two uncharismatic wrinklies into the world (which is German politics).

Alas, the two hapless and gormless bureaucrats, far from saving the CSU, orchestrated their party’s fall from grace. Needless to say they were ousted only days after the election.

That was Mr Seehofer’s chance. Mr Seehofer happens to be Germany’s Minister for Agriculture in the grand coalition government and a popular conservative left-winger. His career took a beating two years ago when, in the aftermath of the Stoiber massacre, he decided to run for the CSU’s party leadership – and lost because his candidacy coincided with the publication of a well-known Berlin secret that he, despite being married, had fathered a child with his mistress of several years.

Making matters worse, Mr Seehofer chose to do a Cecil Parkinson and ditched his mistress in order to return to his wife. Come to think of it, does anybody remember Cecil Parkinson who was Mrs Thatcher’s most prominent member of cabinet and was generally tipped as her successor until 1983 after it was revealed that his former secretary, Sara Keays, was bearing his child? Of Mr Parkinson’s further political fate is known that he resigned along with Margaret Thatcher when she was replaced by John Major.

Conservative voters are a strange lot. In the case of Mr Seehofer they could have been outraged that he had been carrying on with both a wife and a mistress. However, rather than giving him the thumbs down for lax morals they felt outraged that someone had plotted against him and leaked his private circumstances to the media. People familiar with the situation (that is practically everybody in Berlin) immediately pointed the finger at an even more prominent political figure as the main culprit: come step forward Dr. Angela Merkel, Germany’s Chancellor.

The public laughed, the public cried. And they asked a pertinent question: Who would have benefited from a weakened CSU, whose personnel was bruised and bleeding? Apparently, only the leader of the CSU’s sister party, the CDU, and Germany’s Chancellor who already had her hands full with an obstinate coalition partner, the Social Democratic Party.

Be it as it may, Mr Stoiber finally stepped down as Bavarian Prime Minister at the end of September 2007. His successors, who took a year to realise that Mr Stoiber’s shoes were too big for them, plundered on while Mr Seehofer patiently waited in the wings.

October 2008: With the CSU in a mess, Mr Seehofer’s uncouth behaviour two years ago seems forgiven and forgotten. At the end of this month he will become both the Bavarian Prime Minister and the leader of the CSU. So much for him “doing a Cecil Parkinson”. It looks like conservative voters have become more tolerant of the ways of the world over the past quarter of a century. Or they have decided to wash it all down with another glass of fine Bavarian beer.

“Cheers” to Mr Kerr.

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Posted June 2008:

Harrison Ford is 65 years old. Ahmegawd, Harrison Ford is 65! That’s considered earth-shattering news. Try Google and you will get almost half a million hits for “Harrison Ford 65.” Perverse.

Sorry, I must be missing out on something. Why is it considered newsworthy that the actor Harrison Ford turned 65 while filming the fourth Indiana Jones motion picture? Because “he still wields a prehensile bullwhip with aplomb and his punches sound as though they might fell an elephant?” (The Economist)

When even the no-nonsense Newspaper The Economist falls into the tabloids’ sensationalist trap you have to start wondering: what’s the underlying assumption here? That anybody over 60 ought to be taking things more slowly? Or should not be playing the part of a fortysomething?

To me, there is nothing wrong with mentioning Harrison Ford’s age. But they way it has been linked it to his latest role is insidious and highlights our society’s all pervasive prejudice that anybody over forty is past his prime. 

You could argue that no industry, apart from the fashion industry perhaps, is more age-obsessed than the motion picture industry. Unfortunately, age discrimination is not confined to Hollywood. Expect the current presidential campaign in the United States to bring this issue to the fore: the youthful Democratic candidate Obama versus the elderly Republican McCain.   

The brewing industry is no exception here. When I attended the Canadean Beer Conference in Madrid in April and the Beverage Forum in New York in May I was surprised how easy it was to distinguish between company owners (they the ones with grey hair) and the corporate high flyers (young men in their early thirties). Making an educated guess as to who’s who was made simple by the fact that at both events there was a noticeable scarcity of salaried men in their forties and fifties. Where were they? Desperately clinging on to their desks while being sidelined in their careers, or about to set up their own business before getting the sack?

I could have added that women of all ages and people of colour were even scarcer at these events, underlining the fact that the brewing industry is still fairly male-dominated and white. Yet, that’s not my concern here.

It’s probably needless to point out that our culture’s obsession with youth dates back several thousand years. The Greeks knew that “those whom the gods love die young”. That was easily said then considering that life expectancy in Greek antiquity was 30.

Yet how desperate has our culture become if songs like the Who’s “Hope I die before I get old” and Billy Joel’s “Only the good die young” can become classics – in the sense that for several decades now they have expressed an anxiety felt by generations of Europeans and Americans?

It is somewhat paradoxical that our western culture promotes adolescence to last until we are in our thirties, while western businesses at the same time have gradually moved the onset of old age forwards to our forties. Talk to anybody with a salary and they will tell you that once they are 40+ they need no longer apply for another job.

I have no idea why corporations think that people are old once they hit forty. It is not as if we stop having good ideas once we celebrate 4-0. If this were the case, then we should sack all university professors, teachers, politicians … and executives. Why should they be the only exception to the rule?  

Funnily enough, headhunters and consultants have already begun to complain – obviously off the record and in private conversation – about a shortage of experts. I refuse to use the term “talent” here because I do not think that “talent” is sufficient for someone to hold on to a job. Talent implies being bright and full of ideas. But it equally implies that the person lacks in experience, wisdom, knowledge and the ability to develop a long-term view because all of that only comes with age.    

Experts - that is people with a wide range of experiences - are currently out of fashion and I can only speculate as to the reasons why. Nevertheless, corporations will eventually become desperate for experts – either when the deficits of so-called “talent” will have become too obvious or when the drain in knowledge has become too painful.

Where will they find the experts then? Now that’s a good question.

 

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Posted May 2008:

Luckily, Canadean’s Beer Strategy Conference in Madrid (see my News Section) coincided with a major art exhibition, showing more than 200 works by Francisco de Goya (1746-1828) at Madrid’s Prado art museum. The exhibition titled “Goya in times of war” marks the bicentennial of the 1808-1814 Peninsular War during which Napoleon’s forces invaded Spain.

It is not a show for the squeamish or the faint-hearted, as many of the paintings and drawings depict in unnerving detail the horrors man is capable of unleashing. The centrepiece of the exhibition features two large-scale masterworks, called the Second and Third of May 1808 in Madrid, specially restored for the show. They depict a gruesome revolt against French forces in Madrid and the chilling reprisal by Napoleon's troops the following day.

What is most unnerving to see in Goya’s paintings, even in his commissioned portraits, is gradual degradation of human faces to mugs. Noblemen, burghers, peasants, all share the same features: mouths agape in an idiotic grin, eyes half shut. Blank. Without esprit, thought, or intelligence. More ape-like than human. The most disturbing of Goya’s paintings, the fourteen “pinturas negras”, were not even included in the show but on display in the permanent collection of the Prado one floor down. Very little is known about these paintings only that Goya directly painted them onto the walls of his country house nine years before he died. Goya received no commission for them nor was he under any obligation to make these paintings. They were done for himself, as a visual reflection on the condition of humankind and the world.

Goya’s world view must have been Manichaean (the belief in the dualism of light and darkness with no omnipotent merciful god) to be able to stand the sight of these paintings as he ate and entertained in these rooms. If these paintings exude any palpable atmosphere, it is one of overwhelming darkness and despair. The most heart wrenching painting of them all is the one titled “The half-submerged Dog". This is the most enigmatic of all the black paintings. A dog, half sunk in sand or water, gazing into emptiness, and nothing else. It is difficult to say what the painting is all about. Is the dog sinking in or trying to escape, jumping up and sticking out its head? All these explanations are plausible but none of them is charged with expressiveness as the painting itself is which emanates ostracism, dejection, and anguish.

I am still pondering the coincidence of half-submerged creatures in art, distanced by one and a half centuries. A week after looking at Goya’s Dog I went to see Samuel Beckett’s play “Happy Days” (1961) in a production by the grand old man of experimental theatre, Peter Brook (83) in Potsdam. Beckett’s protagonist Winnie, a woman no longer young, is embedded up to her bosom in a mound of earth. We learn that she has not always been buried in this way but we never discover how she came to be trapped so. Talking compulsively, Winnie begins her day. After the sounding of the transcendental bell, she offers up a half-forgotten prayer and then sets about her daily routine. As she removes the items from her bag – a comb, a toothbrush the writing on which she spends most of the first act trying to decipher, toothpaste, a bottle of patent medicine, lipstick, a nail file, a revolver which she feels the need to quickly kiss and a music box – she prattles away to her husband, Willie who lives in a cave behind the mound.

Winnie is certainly terrified of being alone in that mound of earth under the blazing sun, but she is particularly afraid of speaking unheard, without the possibility of any response. Winnie's raison d'être is to speak: “I talk therefore you are.” And so she natters on and on, not to let the absurdity of life and man’s abject destitution overtake her “pernicious and incurable optimism” (Beckett).     

Goya’s Dog and Beckett’s Winnie: two ways of transmuting existential angst into exaltation. Well, in Winnie’s case that was helped by a deep gulp from that bottle of medicine for the “instantaneous improvement” for a variety of ills, such as the “loss of spirits, lack of keenness, want of appetite.” Did she have beer perchance?

 

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Ever since we met at Rüdiger Ruoss’ World Beer & Drinks Forum in Munich in 2001, Germain Hansmaennel, the one and only “independent world beer economist”, and I have kept a dialogue going. What have we talked about? The obvious: the international brewing industry, the nature of deals and where it would all lead to. Whenever we met, we exchanged views, did some more research, met again, discussed our findings, agreed or disagreed. Much like the Greek philosophers Plato and Socrates who preferred the spoken word over the written, did our dialogue avoid scripting. That I have now called this site “beer monopoly” owes much to this dialogue. It is also a tribute to Germaine, whose wealth of experience (at Kronenbourg Breweries and later Danone), sharp intelligence and charming unselfconsciousness have made our dialogue and the search for truth so pleasurable.

In all fairness, it has to be said that it was Germaine, who came up with idea that the consolidation and globalisation processes in the brewing industry resemble the Monopoly game – a board game which itself was modelled on trends and tendencies in the market economy, albeit with an added challenge: chance.

When we made our point at the 2005 World Beer & Drinks Forum, arguing that over the past two decades the brewing industry has been engaged in what could only be called “Life imitating Art”, we were publicly scolded by Wolfgang Salewski, then CEO of Mr Schörghuber’s beer empire, Brau Holding International (Paulaner). He thought the contention outrageous that deal-making in the brewing industry was anything like a game. Apparently, Mr Salwesky, a psychologist by training, had been unaware of the finer points of the use of metaphor. In any case, a few months later he was no more. Mr Schörghuber and Mr Salewski had parted ways.

Germaine has since gone on to expound his ideas particularly in the annual Barth-Report and in numerous articles. He has recently published a missive (in Brewing and Beverage Industry International 1/2008) that the time of the beer world monopoly is over. He predicts that future deals will involve extra-brewing industry players. Although I think that the new scenario delineated by Germaine with some conviction is highly likely, I do believe, however, that the era of the beer monopoly is not quite completed yet, that a few changes in the ownership of the brewing industry’s equivalent to “Oxford Street”, “Park Lane” and “Mayfair” are still more than likely. 

 

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Posted April 2008:

The other day I went to a panel discussion on the American Election Campaign organised by the German Marshall Fund and the Hanns-Seidl-Foundation. These two political think tanks had brought over from the United States one journalist and two party strategists (one GOP, one Democrat) who sent us home with the warning that we could be wrong to think that a Republican candidate could not win the race to the White House. In other words, the longer Mrs Clinton and Mr Obama continue their slugfest, the better for Mr McCain to build on his lead.

What I found most fascinating attending this discussion was not just the insight I gained into the use of the internet as a means of political campaigning – when it comes to using the web, European political parties have a lot of catching up to do – I particularly liked studying two high calibre spin doctors: one by the name of Juleanna Glover (Republican) and the other by the name of Jamal Simmons (Democrat). Female spin doctors in Europe are still a rare breed so I expected some self-effacing woman, a younger version of Chancellor Merkel, black trouser suit and all, but lo and behold, I was made to shake hands with a woman who behaved like a girlie, flopping her ginger hair about and speaking in a grating high pitched voice.

I mean does no one remember Mrs Thatcher and how she handbagged everyone once she had reinvented herself as one of the boys, taking elocution lessons and lowering her voice?

Ms Glover, on the other hand, did not live up to anybody’s expectations. As she sat there in her green stilettos, her purple tights, her blue dress and pink t-shirt, clutching her tiny evening bag whose rhinestone front would have made Liberace envious, I wondered if G.W. Bush, Dick Cheney, Rudi Giuliani and John McCain really listened to her advice as her biography claims?

American bloggers can be cruel. When I googled Ms Glover, I found out that she is referred to by three descriptors mostly: society hostess, lobbyist, and more recently, divorcee. 

Welcome to 2008. It’s as if the 70s never happened.

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If you read German, I have a book recommendation for you. It’s a historical novel by Günther Thömmes, a Bitburg brewer who turned writer some years ago. His book is called “Der Bierzauberer” (The Beer Magician). I find the title a bit unfortunate because there is nothing magic in brewing a good beer. In the Middle Ages, the setting of his novel, that may have been the case, but I fear it was his publishing house that suggested the title to make the novel more sellable. A bit of suspense and mystery all mixed in with the mash – and the publisher will laugh all the way to the bank.

Actually, the plot keeps you in its grip. It revolves around a young man who becomes a brewer in Weihenstephan, then moves on to St. Gallen, falls out with the Inquisition, escapes to Bitburg, make his way to Cologne only to have a final and fatal showdown … I will not give away any more.

For anyone who is mildly interested in the history of brewing and life in the Middle Ages, this novel is a must-read.

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The painter Valeska is a friend of mine. But even if she had not been, I would have chosen her painting “Globalisation” for my website. True, we have had to cut it down in size to fit onto a computer screen. We have multiplied it and done a Warhol on her. Our excuse? Call it artistic licence.

But should you ever get to Munich, ask your taxi driver to take you along Mittlerer Ring (Circular Road). Across from the mighty old pile that is the Bavarian Prime Minister’s Office, there is a bank building and on the ground floor there is a permanent exhibition of Valeska’s gigantic canvasses.  That’s why I suggested taking a taxi. That way you will not cause an accident (like other unlucky drivers before you) once you see Valeska’s work for the first time. These red hues, applied on canvasses several square metres large, are quite a sight to behold. Especially at night. You can take at look at Valeska’s art at www.atelier-valeska.de